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Goodyear Tire & Rubber Debt Risks: Financial Stability Analysis

Goodyear Tire & Rubber, listed on the NASDAQ under GT, has been a subject of scrutiny regarding its financial stability and investment potential. Warren Buffett’s famous quote on volatility versus risk sets the stage for evaluating the company’s risk profile based on its debt structure. Like many firms, Goodyear utilizes debt as a financial instrument, raising concerns among stakeholders about the implications of its debt levels.

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The significance of debt lies in a company’s ability to meet its obligations promptly, especially when faced with financial distress. Excessive debt can lead to shareholder dilution or even loss of control to lenders if the situation worsens. While debt can fuel growth, mismanagement can result in dire consequences. Therefore, assessing a company’s debt alongside its cash reserves provides a clearer picture of its financial health.

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As of March 2025, Goodyear Tire & Rubber carried a debt of $7.78 billion, with a net debt of approximately $6.87 billion after factoring in its cash reserves of $902.0 million. The company’s balance sheet revealed liabilities totaling $12.8 billion, surpassing its cash and short-term receivables. This imbalance underscores the potential risks associated with Goodyear’s financial structure, necessitating a cautious approach towards monitoring its financial performance.

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Examining Goodyear’s debt relative to its earnings power unveils insights into its financial leverage and sustainability. While the net debt to EBITDA ratio appears manageable at 4.4, the low interest cover of 1.4 times signals high leverage, exacerbated by substantial depreciation and amortization charges. Shareholders should take note of the impact of interest expenses on the company’s operations, despite a 12% growth in EBIT over the past year.

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Although Goodyear Tire & Rubber’s ability to generate EBIT shows promise, concerns linger regarding its free cash flow, which has been negative over the last three years. Such trends raise red flags on the company’s debt risk and financial stability, warranting a cautious investment approach. While the company’s EBIT growth is encouraging, its debt levels and cash flow performance present challenges that investors should carefully consider.

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Considering the various factors at play, Goodyear Tire & Rubber’s debt situation appears precarious, deterring risk-averse investors. While debt analysis typically starts with the balance sheet, other non-financial risks may impact investment decisions. Identifying warning signs and closely monitoring the company’s financial health can guide investors in navigating the complexities of Goodyear’s investment landscape.

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Ultimately, prudent investors may seek companies with minimal debt burdens to mitigate financial risks. Goodyear’s financial outlook underscores the importance of a comprehensive risk assessment strategy to make informed investment decisions in the dynamic landscape of the NASDAQ market.

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