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MKT Data – Global Stock Exchanges

How is the Taiwan Stock Exchange Affected by US-China Trade War Impact?

The U.S. ports are facing significant slowdowns as the impact of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese imports is being felt. The trade war between the U.S. and China is disrupting the flow of goods, with liners reducing their carrying capacity from China to the U.S. Data shows a sharp drop in bookings from China to the U.S., leading to a decrease in cargo volume at ports. Economists are warning of a possible recession as job cuts in the trucking and retail sectors are anticipated due to collapsing shipping demand.

The Port of Los Angeles, the busiest port in the U.S., has reported limited import-export activities with China. Analysts predict that empty shelves could become a reality by mid-May as the impact of tariffs starts to take full effect. Layoffs in the trucking and retail industries are expected to follow, with job cuts already underway in various states.

The International Monetary Fund has revised down its growth forecast for the U.S. economy, reflecting the uncertainties caused by the ongoing trade war. The IMF now anticipates a slower growth rate for the U.S. in 2025. Back-to-school and Christmas inventory are at risk due to the disruptions in trade, with nearly 80% of toys sold in the U.S. being manufactured in China. The Toy Association warns that Christmas 2025 could be in jeopardy, as many American toy companies face the risk of going out of business without immediate relief from the tariffs.

Despite the short-term challenges posed by the tariffs, there is optimism that the U.S. may benefit from a resurgence in manufacturing jobs if companies decide to relocate their operations back to the country. President Trump’s protectionist trade policies aim to incentivize manufacturers to return to the U.S., potentially creating a long-term industrial advantage. Companies like Apple, Honda, and Taiwanese semiconductor maker TSMC have already announced plans to invest and expand in the U.S.

Investors are turning to gold as a safe haven amid the economic uncertainties triggered by the trade war. Inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds have remained positive, with the precious metal rallying significantly in the first four months of the year. The demand for stability and hedge against financial turmoil has been driving the price of gold higher, with experts predicting further upside potential as long as the tariffs remain in place.

In the broader market, major indices have shown positive gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all finishing up for the week. The Hang Seng Composite and Taiwan Stock Exchange indices also saw gains. Despite the challenges faced by various industries, opportunities exist in sectors such as airlines, shipping, luxury goods, and international markets. However, threats loom in the form of ongoing trade tensions, economic uncertainties, and geopolitical risks that could impact global markets.

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