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Market Recap: Nasdaq Hits Record High Amid Tariff Uncertainties

The stock market saw a mix of activities on July 18, 2025, with the Nasdaq achieving a record high while the Dow experienced a decline and the S&P 500 remained stable. The Nasdaq Composite closed at a new high, marking its 11th record close of the year. In contrast, the S&P 500 ended the day without significant changes, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.3%, equivalent to 142 points. This week, the Nasdaq set five new record highs, with the S&P 500 recording one.

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Despite a backdrop of political turmoil, including President Donald Trump’s threats towards Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and tariff-related announcements, the market managed to hold steady. Trump’s tariff negotiations with numerous countries added an element of uncertainty, but investors appeared to adapt to the ongoing trade tensions.

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Market analysts like Daniel Skelly from Morgan Stanley’s Wealth Management Market Research & Strategy Team noted that the markets might be adjusting to the tariff uncertainties. The recent comments from Fed governor Christopher Waller advocating for rate cuts also influenced market sentiments. Waller emphasized the need for rate adjustments based on labor market data, hinting at potential rate cuts in the near future.

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Rate cuts are expected to benefit companies by providing easier access to capital, thereby supporting stock market growth and economic expansion. However, premature rate cuts could lead to inflation concerns, especially amid the current tariff environment that is increasing costs for U.S. businesses importing goods.

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Thierry Wizman, Global FX & Rates Strategist at Macquarie Group, highlighted the division within the Federal Open Market Committee regarding rate adjustments, with some members pushing for immediate cuts while others, including Jay Powell, advocating for a more cautious approach.

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Looking ahead, investors are gearing up for a week filled with Treasury bill auctions, starting with auctions for the 13-week and 26-week bills on Monday, followed by a 6-week bill auction on Tuesday. The Treasury Department’s increased issuance of bills aims to bolster its cash reserves, attracting investors with the security and appealing 4% yield of these short-term debt instruments.

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Furthermore, investors will closely monitor the upcoming jobless claims data scheduled for release on July 24, providing insights into the labor market’s health and potential economic trends. The market’s response to these key indicators and ongoing geopolitical developments will likely shape the investment landscape in the coming weeks.

As the market navigates through uncertainties and economic shifts, investors are advised to stay informed and agile in their decision-making to capitalize on emerging opportunities and mitigate risks in a dynamic financial environment.

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