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Signal outcome tracker

Do the patterns actually work? Here's the record.

Every time a pattern first closes through its trigger, the entry price is locked in as a signal. From there it's binary and automatic: a win if price moves the target distance in the pattern's direction, a loss if it moves the same distance against, expired if neither happens inside the horizon. No cherry-picking — every signal is counted.

Signals tracked
Win rate
of decided (win + loss)
Wins / losses
Avg move / signal
direction-adjusted
Cumulative
sum of all resolved moves
Cumulative direction-adjusted return
Per-pattern record
PatternSignalsWin rate W / L / ExpAvg moveTotal
Recent resolved signals
SignalPatternEntry → Exit MoveOutcomeTime held
Methodology
Entry

A signal opens the first scan a match's status flips to breakout with a score of 65+ — the close that takes price through the pattern's trigger level. The same symbol + pattern can't re-signal until the horizon passes.

Exit rules

Win: +0.75% in the pattern's direction. Loss: −0.75% against it. Expired: 3 hours pass with neither — the final move still counts toward averages, just not the win rate.

Honest caveats

Moves are measured on 5-minute closes, so intrabar spikes between scans are invisible. Percentages ignore spreads, fees and slippage. This measures pattern behaviour, not a tradeable strategy.